IBM Could Grow Market Share as AI Investments Pay Off, Goldman Sachs Says

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<p>David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images</p>

David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images



Key Takeaways

  • IBM got a "buy" rating from Goldman Sachs analysts, who cited the technology giant's moves to boost long-term growth.

  • The analysts pointed to IBM's gains in infrastructure software, artificial intelligence (AI), and consulting.

  • They suggested IBM could stand to gain market share as its investments in AI bear fruit, among other things.



IBM (IBM) shares gained 1.5% Monday after Goldman Sachs analysts initiated coverage with a "buy" rating, citing the software, hardware, and services companyโ€™s efforts to move toward long-term growth and investments in artificial intelligence (AI). Goldman also gave a price target of $200, 14% above Mondayโ€™s closing price.

The analysts said IBM was โ€œon a path to successfully complete its pivot to long-term growth.โ€ They pointed to an improving mix of infrastructure software focused on open-source and AI offerings, and a โ€œuniquely complementary consulting business which we believe is decisively gaining market share.โ€

AI Investments Paying Off

The Goldman Sach analysts said that IBM was โ€œin the middle inningsโ€ of its portfolio shift to a suite of modernized application and infrastructure software and a broader array of services, and is moving away from a legacy-focused business model.

They noted that IBM's "organic investments in AI offerings (WatsonX) have finally begun to pay dividends, and we think its integrated software/service offerings and use of open-source LLMs are a compelling differentiator that provide a competitive edge in client engagements."

The analysts added that they think the stock โ€œcan continue to re-rate higher,โ€ on an improving software business mix, and as the company shows consistent financial performance. They said they anticipate IBM sustaining 5% to 7% long-term revenue growth, and about a 10% increase in free cash flow.

Shares of IBM closed 1.5% higher at $175.01 Monday and have gained about 7% so far in 2024.

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